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The Trend Line · NHL

How predictive is the NHL preseason? Part 2: the players

Do NHL preseason points count? Not in the record books: preseason games are kept separate from a player's official regular-season stats. But they do tend to foreshadow the season players have — much more than for teams. While a good preseason has almost no correlation to a team's success in the regular season, it does tend to correlate a bit with a player's success. A point-per-game preseason came with 53 regular-season points per 82 games among skaters from 2010-11 through 2025-26; a pointless preseason came with 26 points. And 19 of the last 26 scoring champions were point-per-game players in September.

Every NHL skater with at least 2 preseason games and 41 regular-season games, 2010-11 through 2025-26: 7,531 player-seasons. Art Ross winners in red, Rocket Richard winners in gold. Hover any dot.

One player, one season Art Ross winner (most points) Rocket Richard winner (most goals) Trend line (best fit)
Measure

What September told you about the regular season

How we counted · every player-season in a table
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More hockey arguments

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What This Is

A project to build the funnest possible hockey stats site — stats the way fans want them: interactive, packed with visuals, and filled with context so that the numbers make sense.

It has dashboards for every NHL team and player. Compare anyone, or any team, against their recent past, or against their peers; find trends; visualize them. Who's rising this year? Who's dropping? Whose shot got faster? Who slowed down? Who shows up in the playoffs? Who were the steals in recent drafts — and the busts? How does Alex Ovechkin compare to Rocket Richard? Quinn Hughes to Lane Hutson? Are the Sharks getting better in the faceoff circle; spending more time in the offensive zone; scoring more goals? Find the answers at trendline.hockey — and build charts with them that you can share on social media.

An independent project — not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the NHL or any team. All stats are drawn from the NHL's public data feeds.

It's built and maintained by Alex Panetta, a 28-year journalist now getting a master's in AI Management during a career sabbatical. He's been building apps as a hobby and for school projects, like Wandering Well, a hidden-gems travel site and app; trendline.football; the Daily AI Digest, an automated newsletter on AI developments for non-technical professionals; and several workflow-related tools. Reach out to discuss projects with him on LinkedIn.

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The Numbers

Everything is fetched from the NHL's public API by an automated pipeline — no estimates, no hand-entered stats. Goal totals reconcile to public NHL accounting. Status paragraphs are generated from fixed rules applied to the data, so the words can never outrun the numbers.

This page: 7,531 player-seasons, every preseason line taken from the NHL's own boxscores and every regular-season total from the NHL's skater summaries. The full table is above; the raw data and the scripts that built it are open.

The Trend Line also speaks MCP — add https://trendline.hockey/mcp to Claude or any MCP client and ask it hockey questions in plain language, answered from these numbers and cited back to the site. Details in llms.txt.